08/12/2009 (3:50 pm)

Pickens: I’m long oil

Filed under: economics |

Oil man turned wind power fan T. Boone Pickens sees the price of a barrel of oil rising slightly to $75 by the end of this year and $85 next year.

“I’m long oil,” said Pickens in an interview on the sidelines of U.S. Senate Majority Leader and Nevada Democrat Harry Reid’s National Clean Energy Summit, a meeting of industry leaders and policy makers.

Pickens has written a blueprint for U.S. energy policy, called the Pickens Plan, that focuses on converting heavy vehicles like big long-distance trucks, to natural gas.

Pickens, traditional environmentalists and those fearing U.S. dependence on foreign oil sources have argued that the nation should focus its efforts on alternative energy, like wind. As the economy has soured, potential jobs for building new energy infrastructure has taken a leading role in debates for changing the economy away from oil.

Nevertheless, “when the global economy gets going again, demand will be above supply,” said Pickens, explaining his forecast for oil prices, which has been constant for most of the year.

U.S. crude fell 33 cents to $70 online instant cash advance.60 a barrel on Monday.

The billionaire recently delayed plans to build the nation’s largest wind farm in the Texas panhandle, blaming financing problems and transmission limitations.

“You’ve got wind corridors all the way from Sweetwater, Texas to the Canadian border, so we’re looking at projects all up and down that corridor,” he said, adding that he was talking to groups with transmission capacity to decide where to site more than 600 windmills.

Pickens’ Mesa Power ordered the windmills for the first $2 billion phase of the project. Originally he had planned to install turbines that could power about 1.2 million homes by 2014 at a cost of about $8 billion.

He is still having trouble lining up financing for the first installment. “I’m in the wind business and I’m trying to finance a big project, and I can see it, but I can’t touch it,” he said, adding that he was sure he would get there.

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08/11/2009 (4:46 am)

A brutal summer for young job seekers

Filed under: online |

Andre Campbell isn’t short on job experience. At age 27, he has poured coffee for Tim Hortons, mowed lawns, sorted recycling and cooked fast food, among numerous other jobs.

"I’ve learned a lot of random, general labour things – anything I could do with my hands," he said.

But even with experience, Campbell is struggling to find work. In seven months of looking, he’s had just two interviews.

For young job seekers, this summer has been a cruel one. For students, it’s been bad enough to break records. The unemployment rate for students rose sharply to 20.9 per cent in July, Statistics Canada said yesterday in its latest report. That’s up from 13.8 per cent from July 2008 – and the highest level since the government started tracking it in 1977.

"The stars were aligned about as badly as they could have been for the summer market this year, whether it was the currency, the weather, or the underlying economy," said Doug Porter, deputy chief economist for BMO Capital Markets. "It’s tough to imagine a worse set of circumstances for student employment."

Overall, the jobless rate held steady at 8.6 per cent for July. That may sound positive, but details in the report are discouraging:

Toronto’s unemployment rate roared into double-digit territory, hitting 10 per cent for the first time since 1994. The GTA now has the fourth-highest unemployment rate in the province – and the country.

The economy lost 44,500 jobs – a lot more than expected. That casts doubt on the Bank of Canada’s hope that economic recovery will take hold in the second half of this year.

Some 54,000 Canadians dropped out of the workforce entirely. They were so discouraged that they just gave up looking for a job.

Speaking to reporters in Regina, where he is attending the Council of the Federation meeting, Premier Dalton McGuinty said Canada’s national unemployment statistics were "a hopeful sign" for Ontario.

Peter Walker, 22, an aerospace engineering student, started the summer hoping for work in his field, but then broadened his search to "anything," he said.

With just a few weeks to go until classes resume, he’s still looking, "but after three months of not finding anything, it’s more of going through the motions. I really don’t believe anything is going to come up."

Nisha Mahadjeri, 17, hasn’t had any luck finding summer work. The high-school student left a job selling shoes three months ago to look for something better. Since then, she’s taken short stints at McDonald’s but hasn’t found what she wants.

Young workers are at a disadvantage compared to their older counterparts, and a recession only makes it worse, as more experienced workers start competing for the same jobs, said John-Frederick Cameron, a vice-president at Youth Employment Services.

"For the same amount of money, employers can get the 35-year-old who’s got the experience, who’s got the degree," Cameron said.

"It’s just a recipe for disaster online payday loans."

He said the agency has seen nearly double the number of youths looking for work in the last year.

StatsCan defines students as those between the ages of 15 and 24 "who attended school full-time in March and who are planning to return to school in the fall."

For other youth in the same age bracket, the jobless rate is much lower, 13.4 per cent, but still much higher than the national average.

This summer, the industries that typically employ students, restaurants, catering, hospitality, tourism and construction, cut back on hiring because of the recession.

In Toronto, the sharp climb in the jobless rate, to 10 per cent in July from 9.6 per cent in June, came as the tourism sector struggles with a strong Canadian dollar and new passport requirements that may be keeping visitors away, as well cool, wet weather that tends puts a damper on summer spending.

"Toronto is important for the tourism sector, and tourism has been hammered by this downturn. We rely on visitors from abroad and the strong currency isn’t helping," economist Porter said.

The weakness in construction also weighed heavily on the city.

Windsor has the highest unemployment in the country, 15.2 per cent, followed by London at 10.9 per cent and 10.5 per cent in St. Catharines-Niagara. These communities that have seen steep job losses as automotive and manufacturing plants cut production and, in some cases, shut their doors.

StatsCan measures unemployment for what it calls the Toronto CMA, or census metropolitan area, which extends from Milton in the west to Ajax on the east side, and north to Georgina.

The StatsCan report found that the private sector shed 74,900 jobs in July, and the public sector lost another 4,400. Those losses were offset as 34,800 people joined the ranks of the self-employed.

That gives a net loss of 44,500 jobs for the month – far more than the 7,400 the economy lost in June.

"The Bank of Canada is talking about the recession ending in the third quarter, but (this) certainly suggests there is still quite a bit of weakness embedded in the economy," said Beata Caranci, director of economic forecasting for TD Economics.

Economists expect unemployment to go up, even as the economy starts to recover, "but the magnitude of the job losses at least should be tapering, and that didn’t happen in this report," she added.

But the overall unemployment rate didn’t budge because of the number of people who dropped out of the workforce. That lead to a decline in what’s known as the participation rate, which was holding at just below 68 per cent. It dropped another 0.3 per cent in July, to 67.2 per cent.

Meanwhile, in the U.S., the pace of job losses slowed more than forecast in July and the unemployment rate dropped for the first time since April 2008, the clearest signs yet that the worst recession since the Great Depression is easing.

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08/08/2009 (8:52 am)

Ameren earns $161 million in second quarter

Filed under: business |

Ameren Corp. said second-quarter profit fell 20 percent from a year ago when the company recorded a gain on a settlement related to the early termination of a coal-supply agreement.

Excluding the gain and other nonrecurring items, net income increased 13 percent to $161 million, or 75 cents a share. On the same basis, Ameren earned $142 million, or 67 cents a share in last year’s second quarter.

St. Louis-based Ameren, which sells electricity and natural-gas to 2.4 million customers in Missouri and Illinois, said the improvement reflects rate increases in both states within the past year and lower operating expenses totally free credit score.

Electricity sales to industrial customers fell 13 percent from last year as a result of the recession, Ameren said. The figure doesn’t include the loss of sales to Noranda Aluminum Inc.’s smelter in southeast Missouri, which has been operating below capacity since January.

Ameren benefited from electric rate increases totaling more than $300 million a year. The company’s utilities have sought additional increases in Illinois and Missouri during recent weeks.

Source

08/05/2009 (10:43 pm)

July U.S. retail sales lack back-to-school bounce

Filed under: business |

U.S. retailers could post their 11th consecutive drop in monthly same-store sales this week as cool weather, a weak job market, and a lack of tax-free holidays had shoppers picking through the clearance racks in July instead of buying full-priced back-to-school clothes.

July typically offers retailers a chance to bolster second-quarter profits by selling new autumn merchandise to fashion conscious students, eager to begin piecing together a stylish wardrobe for the first day of school.

But this year, analysts expect that July got little boost from back-to-school sales. Shoppers are showing a reluctance to buy anything at full price, and new fall merchandise arriving in stores is competing with the heavily discounted summer goods that failed to sell well in June.

When retailers release July sales results on Wednesday and Thursday, the reports, which measure sales at stores open at least a year, could be peppered with some profit warnings from chains that were unable to attract shoppers with the right mix of merchandise and prices.

“This is the end of the quarter for most retailers,” said Eric Beder, retail analyst at Brean Murray, Carret & Co. “The final reckoning is going to happen on Thursday.”

Beder said American Eagle Outfitters could warn on its second-quarter earnings due to back-to-school merchandise that was “highly underwhelming” and increased competition from lower-priced competitor Aeropostale Inc.

In July, overall same-store sales for U.S. retailers are expected to fall 5 percent, according to data from Thomson Reuters free business card. The figure excludes Wal-Mart Stores Inc, which stopped reporting monthly sales earlier this year.

Department stores and retail chains that sell clothes to teenagers and children are expected to post the worst sales declines in July with a 9 percent and 10.4 percent drop, respectively.

JULY NO BETTER THAN JUNE?

June same-store sales fell 4.9 percent, according to Thomson Reuters.

With last month ranking as the coolest July in North America in 17 years, according to weather tracking firm Planalytics, “We think July trends are going to be similar to slightly worse than June,” Pali Research analyst Amy Noblin said.

She said retailers also missed getting a boost in July from tax-free-shopping holidays, which were shifted in some states from the July reporting period into the August period.

During tax holidays, which have been a boon to the back-to-school sales season in recent years, states suspend their sales taxes to encourage shopping.

Wedbush Morgan said July typically represents about 30 to 35 percent of second-quarter sales for many clothing retailers. Following three months of soft sales trends, it said earnings could be at risk at American Eagle Outfitters and Zumiez Inc.

But it said that Aeropostale and Gymboree could raise earnings expectations, given solid business trends. 

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08/03/2009 (12:25 am)

Obama says many months before U.S. exits recession

Filed under: term |

President Barack Obama warned on Saturday it would take “many more months” for the United States to get out of recession even after GDP figures showed the economy shrank only modestly in the second quarter.

Obama, who has defended his young administration’s economic policies in recent weeks in the face of worsening unemployment numbers, said jobless figures next week would still show that too many Americans were losing work.

“It will take many more months to fully dig ourselves out of a recession - a recession that we’ve now learned was even deeper than anyone thought,” the president said in his weekly radio and Internet address cash advance no faxing.

“And when we receive our monthly job report next week, it is likely to show that we are continuing to lose far too many jobs in this country. As far as I’m concerned, we will not have a recovery as long as we keep losing jobs,” he said.

(Reporting by Jeff Mason)

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08/01/2009 (8:46 am)

BA sees no upturn, pledges more cost cutting

Filed under: online |

British Airways said on Friday it saw no improvement in bleak trading conditions and vowed to continue to cut costs, rounding off another miserable week for Europe’s airlines.

“Trading conditions continue to be very challenging, with … no visible signs of improvement. Our work to reduce costs is beginning to bear fruit, but there is much more to be done,” Chief Executive Willie Walsh told reporters.

The carrier’s revenues fell by over 12 percent in the three months to end June to just under 2 billion pounds ($3.31 billion), though its two main rivals Air France-KLM and Lufthansa fared worse, reporting sales down 20.5 and 19.5 percent, respectively, earlier in the week.

BA shares were up 4.6 percent at 140.5 pence at 0942 GMT as the market was comforted that there no new shocks, though they are still down 20 percent this year.

Airlines around the world are suffering heavy losses due to a slump in passenger numbers and volatile fuel prices.

Low-cost airlines Ryanair and easyJet are performing better as they steal cost-conscious business customers and as holidaymakers opt for cheaper short-haul breaks over long-haul. Both companies are set to end the year in the black, unlike most full-service airlines.

GRIM READING

BA said its first-quarter operating loss was 94 million pounds, below the “around 100 million” guidance given earlier in July. It is the first time the airline has ever made a loss in the April-June period.

“The numbers from British Airways, whichever way you slice them, make grim reading instant cash advance. They are pulling out all stops in order to remain viable as a business, but an uncertain economic outlook, a pension deficit and delayed merger talks are factors that are going to weigh on the company for the foreseeable future,” said Manoj Ladwa, senior trader at ETX Capital.

Willie Walsh said BA had cut operating costs by around 6.6 percent since last October and shed 1,400 jobs since the end of March as it fights to slim down during the downturn, with more to come.

The carrier has been attempting to wring pay cuts from its workforce and has even axed meals on some short-haul flights, though it is no closer to resolving a battle with trade unions representing cabin crew and ground staff, which could end in major strike action.

“The talks are still ongoing, but are in a cooling-off period,” Walsh told reporters.

He added that he had recently had a meeting with Antonio Vazquez, his newly appointed opposite number at Spain’s Iberia, a long-standing potential merger partner.

“We had a constructive meeting. It was an opportunity to congratulate him on his appointment and confirm with one another our desire to proceed with the proposed merger,” Walsh said.

British Airways said its full-year fuel bill was expected to be between 450 million and 500 million pounds lower than last year, while its debt pile also fell slightly to 2.3 billion pounds. 

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