03/18/2011 (3:15 am)

China: ’serious reservations’ about UN resolution

Filed under: money, technology |

China says it has “serious reservations” about a United Nations resolution authorizing a no-fly zone over Libya and military action to protect civilians against Moammar Gadhafi’s forces.

The Foreign Ministry said in a statement Friday that China opposes using military force in international relations.

The ministry says China has consistently stressed respect for Libya’s sovereignty, independence, unity and territorial integrity and that the crisis should be resolved through dialogue guaranteed online personal loans.

China was among five countries that abstained from Thursday’s vote on the U.N. resolution to allow “all necessary measures” to stop Gadhafi. It was approved with the backing of the United States, France and Britain.

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02/20/2011 (4:11 am)

AP source: Feds drop criminal probe against Mozilo

Filed under: money, mortgage |

Federal prosecutors have ended a criminal investigation of Countrywide Financial Corp. co-founder Angelo Mozilo, a person close to the investigation said Friday.

The federal official told The Associated Press that the probe launched in 2008 into the actions of the former chief executive of the housing giant during the mortgage meltdown has been closed with no indictments. The person spoke on the condition of anonymity because the investigation was never publicly announced, and the Department of Justice as a policy does not announce the closing of investigations.

In October, Mozilo agreed to a $67.5 million settlement to avoid civil trial on fraud and insider trading charges brought by the Securities and Exchange Commission, but prosecutors pursuing the criminal case against him found that his actions did not amount to crimes.

The SEC’s charges alleged that the 72-year-old Mozilo and two other former Countrywide executives who also settled profited from doling out risky mortgages while misleading investors about the dangers.

The three men admitted no wrongdoing under the settlement, and it allowed them to avoid the risk of a verdict that could have been used by the prosecutors who would eventually drop the investigation.

Mozilo attorney David Siegel said he could not speak directly to the federal criminal investigation or the SEC charges, but maintained that Mozilo had done no wrong in the cases the former chief executive still faces.

“We continue to litigate various matters in which Mr. Mozilo has maintained his innocence and denied any wrongdoing, and we continue to believe that the facts bear that out,” Siegel said.

That litigation includes several civil lawsuits, some filed by investors in Countrywide’s mortgage-backed securities.

The shelving of the investigation was first reported by the Los Angeles Times.

The son of a Bronx butcher, Mozilo co-founded Countrywide 41 years ago and watched it grow into the nation’s largest home loan originator, writing one in six of the nation’s mortgages totaling more than $490 billion by 2006.

But the Calabasas, Calif.-based company spiraled into disaster as investors suddenly realized many homeowners wouldn’t be able to repay mortgages that required no proof of income or down payment, and offered adjustable rates that quickly made monthly payments unaffordable.

Bank of America Corp. bought Countrywide and inherited its scores of toxic mortgages in July 2008.

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02/16/2011 (8:55 pm)

U.S. Bonds May Risk Repeat of the 1994 Bear Market, Goldman’s O’Neill Says - Bloomberg

Filed under: money, online |

U.S. government bonds may post losses like those seen in 1994 if “vigorous” economic growth causes the Federal Reserve to change policy, said Jim O’Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

“I’ve been around for 30 years and that includes having gone through 1994 when we probably had about the only savage bear market in bonds” over those three decades, O’Neill, 53, said in an interview in London today on Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move” with Francine Lacqua. “There are a number of circumstances that could lead to a repeat of that, probably the most important one being a very dramatic recovery in growth.”

Treasuries lost 3.3 percent in 1994, according to data from Bank of America-Merrill Lynch & Co., as the Fed almost doubled the target for the federal funds rate to 5.50 percent in response to inflation threats. Treasuries returned 5.9 percent last year even after a 2.7 percent loss in the fourth quarter, the Bank of America-Merrill Lynch data show.

“If we have continued signs of a vigorous U.S. recovery, at some stage the Fed’s going to change their view of the world, and that’s what caused the damage in 1994,” O’Neill said. “So I’m very mindful and on the lookout for that because it might not be very pleasant if it happens.”

Bull Market

Pacific Investment Management Co. Co-Chief Investment Officer Bill Gross said last month that while he anticipates the end of the bull market in bonds, it’s not the beginning of a significant bear market as economic growth and government stimulus fail to translate into broader employment gains. Pimco reduced its holdings of government related debt to the lowest level since January 2009 last month.

O’Neill said today the U.S. won’t suffer the same fate as debt-stricken euro-area members over its budget deficit. The European Union and the International Monetary Fund last year approved rescue packages for Ireland and Greece after concerns about mounting shortfalls pushed up bond yields and eroded confidence in the single currency.

European leaders meet on March 11 at a special 17-nation euro-region summit to agree on a comprehensive package to resolve the region’s debt crisis.

“I don’t think we have a sovereign-debt crisis in Europe. It’s a crisis about European Monetary Union structure and leadership,” O’Neill said. “It’s a test in some ways of Germany’s desire and if Germany stands behind this thing in March full square and simple, European bonds will turn out to be one of the best investments this year.”

In a separate radio interview on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene today, O’Neill said mounting concerns about a pickup in global inflation was “good” because it will prompt policy makers to act.

“If one of the consequences of getting out of this mess is that we sow the seeds for a big pickup in inflation, undoing arguably the best thing that’s happened to the whole world, developed and developing, in my 30 years, that would be bad,” he said. “But in that sense, we’re all sort of vigilantes and I think it’s very difficult for inflation to pick up significantly because it forces a policy response to stop it.”

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02/13/2011 (4:28 pm)

Probe sought of Mubarak family’s purported fortune

Filed under: management, money |

Switzerland has frozen whatever assets Hosni Mubarak and his associates may have there, and anti-corruption campaigners are demanding the same of other countries. But experts say hunting for the deposed Egyptian leader’s purported hidden wealth _ let alone recovering it _ will be an enormous task.

Mubarak’s actual worth remains a mystery. A recent claim that he and his sons Gamal and Alaa may have amassed a fortune of up to $70 billion _ greater than that of Microsoft’s Bill Gates _ helped drive the protests that eventually brought him down.

“Oh, Mubarak, tell us where you got 70 billion dollars!” protesters chanted in demonstrations before Egypt’s ruler of 30 years was driven from office Friday, and left Cairo for a gated compound in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh.

Corruption was endemic in Mubarak’s Egypt where 40 percent of the country’s 80 million people live on $2 or less a day, and critics accused officials of usurping the nation’s wealth. Egyptians have long complained of an unspoken policy of sweetheart deals that allowed top officials and businessmen to enrich themselves.

In recent days, watchdog groups and private lawyers have demanded that the country’s chief prosecutor launch criminal investigations against the Mubaraks and some of their wealthy associates. Scores of former government officials have already been banned from travel and several, among them four former Cabinet ministers, have had their assets frozen.

How far these investigations will go ultimately depends on the political will of Egypt’s leadership, said Eric Lewis, a partner with Washington-based law firm Baach, Robinson & Lewis, which specializes in international asset tracing and has done work in Kenya and Pakistan.

“What you often find is that while there’s a kind of political impetus that seems to want to do it, the reality is that the real urge for transparency is more symbolic than real,” Lewis said.

Far-reaching corruption probes could test the resolve of senior military officials who are running the country in the transition period. Some warn that a purge of Egypt’s tycoons could make economic recovery from the political crisis more difficult.

Anti-corruption campaigners are calling for a speedy investigation and are urging countries other than Switzerland to freeze assets pre-emptively. “It’s going to be a very difficult task, but in the interest of public money, things need to move now,” said Omnia Hussien, Egypt expert at the advocacy group Transparency International.

The Mubaraks have never publicly discussed their assets. Hosni Mubarak’s official monthly salary as president, counting benefits, came to 4,750 Egyptian pounds ($808), in 2007 and 2008, according to a Cairo think tank.

Rumors of hidden riches, such as expensive real estate in Britain, the United States and elsewhere, were fueled by the cozy ties between the Mubaraks and Egypt’s business elite. The sale of state companies and public land for cheap, starting in the 1990s, were key sources of enrichment for the two sides, said Ahmed Elsayed Elnaggar, editor of Egypt’s Economic Report.

“Privatization … is the biggest corruption process in Egypt all over its history, from the period of the pharaohs, until now,” he said.

In the past six months, two leading real estate companies have seen projects challenged in court over such alleged links.

In a case that captivated the country, Talaat Moustafa Group saw its $3 billion planned Madinaty community challenged on claims it was illegally awarded to the firm without the required bidding process, at a loss of $26 billion to the public coffers.

The country’s highest administrative court upheld a ruling that the government had to re-offer the land, a decision that threatened to cast doubt on more than 100 other such projects in Egypt. Instead, a government-appointed committee re-awarded the contract, essentially on the same terms, arguing that it was in the national interest to retain the existing ownership and that TMG’s work on the land had altered its value low interest personal loan.

TMG had been headed by Hisham Talaat Moustafa, a former parliament member who was subsequently stripped of his immunity and sentenced to 15 years for ordering the murder of his Lebanese diva girlfriend.

Palm Hills Development, specializing in upscale residential compounds, faced a similar case _ and its ownership structure is a case study of the ties between public officials and the business world. Relatives of the recently fired housing minister and of a transportation minister who resigned in 2009 either hold stakes in or are on the board of one of the major shareholders of Palm Hills.

Mubarak’s younger son, 47-year-old Gamal, set himself up as the director of a London-based investment firm called Medinvest Associates Ltd. in 1996, but resigned in 2001. Said Kaba, a current director of Medinvest, said the company is no longer linked to Mubarak’s relatives, telling the Sunday Times in London that he knew little about the family’s possible U.K. investments.

Medinvest, based in a stone-front building in London’s swank Knightsbridge neighborhood, is listed as having one employee and 50,000 pounds sterling (nearly $80,000) of issued capital _ the minimum needed to get a trading certificate, operate a business and borrow. The company’s profit and turnover weren’t disclosed. Its net assets were valued at just over 225,000 pounds (nearly $360,000).

Gamal Mubarak is listed as the owner of 28 Wilton Place, a six-story Georgian townhouse a few blocks from Medinvest’s office.

The Cairo-based Mideast investment bank EFG-Hermes said Gamal Mubarak holds an 18 percent share in a subsidiary, EFG Hermes Private Equity. The bank said Gamal Mubarak’s relationship with the company began in 1997, before he entered politics, and was made public at the time. The banks said it “does not manage funds for the Mubarak family, nor has it received _ directly or indirectly _ any benefits or special consideration from the Egyptian government.”

Gamal Mubarak entered politics in 2000 and quickly rose to the top of his father’s ruling National Democratic Party. He was fired from the party’s political bureau last week in what appeared to be a failed attempt by the regime to buy time and defuse public anger.

While corruption complaints up to now have focused on former top officials, Egyptian lawyer Ibrahim Youssri said he is seeking a criminal investigation of the Mubarak family. Youssri said the general prosecutor agreed to meet with him Monday to review the evidence.

“This is a really positive sign,” Youssri said.

Officials in the prosecutor’s office were not immediately available for comment.

Egypt can only start the long process of recovering assets once it launches criminal investigations, said Daniel Thelesklaf, who heads the Basel-based International Center for Asset Recovery. After that first step, Switzerland can release bank information, to be followed by the return of assets following convictions, he said.

Last month, after the ouster of another Mideast autocrat, Tunisia’s Zine Al Abidine Ben Ali, Switzerland froze the bank assets, estimated at $620 million, of former Tunisian government officials.

Thelesklaf said recovering assets has become easier in recent years, with the adoption of international anti-corruption conventions. Egypt is a signatory, and so are the United Arab Emirates, touted as a possible retirement refuge for Mubarak.

The responsibility lies with the Egyptian authorities to get an investigation started, said Thelesklaf, noting that other countries with limited resources, such as Haiti and Nigeria, have managed to repatriate public funds. “If Nigeria can do it, Egypt can do it,” he said.

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01/26/2011 (9:43 pm)

entative deal reached in 18-month strike at Voisey

Filed under: money, technology |

ST. JOHN

01/08/2011 (4:40 pm)

EU Debt Crisis Increases Allure of Region’s Emerging Markets: Euro Credit - Bloomberg

Filed under: finance, money |

Western European government bonds are riskier than emerging-market debt for the first time as investors brace for $1.1 trillion of borrowing from euro-region nations this year.

The Markit iTraxx SovX Western Europe Index of credit- default swaps insuring the debt of 15 countries, including Germany, Greece and Portugal, climbed to 7 basis points more than the Markit iTraxx SovX CEEMEA Index linked to Romania, Turkey and Ukraine, according to data provider CMA. The developed nations were 160 basis points more creditworthy than their emerging-market peers as recently as February.

Portugal’s borrowing costs surged at a six-month bill sale this week, the first of Europe’s high-deficit nations to test investor demand in 2011 after the threat of default forced Greece and Ireland to seek bailouts last year. Spain and Italy together need to raise 317 billion euros ($413 billion) this year, according to BNP Paribas SA.

“Concerns about the periphery are dragging down western Europe,” said Harpreet Parhar, a strategist at Credit Agricole SA in London. “Emerging markets have solid growth stories and are not directly weighed down by peripheral issues.”

Europe’s developing nations will grow 3.1 percent this year, according to forecasts by the International Monetary Fund. That’s more than double the 1.5 percent euro-region expansion shown in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

Top Performers

Credit-default swaps on junk-rated Ukraine and Romania are among the world’s best-performing government-linked contracts in the last three months, while Greece, Ireland and Spain are the worst performing, CMA prices show. Investors are shunning the debt of countries including Spain and Portugal as austerity measures fail to reassure bondholders that they can meet their obligations.

Swaps on Ireland, which agreed to an 85 billion-euro rescue package last quarter, rose to a record 640 basis points yesterday, CMA prices show. That’s up from 448 basis points Oct. 7, and means it costs $640,000 annually to insure $10 million of debt for five years.

Swaps on Greece rose 273 basis points to 1,023 in the past three months and Spain increased 120 to 346. Ukraine fell 37.5 to 474.5, while Romania dropped 21.5 to 295.5, CMA prices show.

Ireland will this year post the widest deficit in the EU at 10.3 percent of gross domestic product, following 2010’s 32.3 percent, according to the European Commission. Some Irish banks’ bonds are no longer accepted as loan collateral by the Swiss National Bank after Moody’s Investors Service lowered the country’s credit rating by five levels to Baa1 on Dec. 17.

Unresolved Issues

“People are still wary that issues remain unresolved in the financial sector,” said Christian Weber, an analyst at UniCredit SpA in Munich. “That weighs on national budgets and poses a risk to the solvency of peripheral countries.”

Portugal’s debt rating was cut one level to A+ by Fitch Ratings on Dec payday loan lenders. 23, which said the economy faces a “deteriorating” outlook. The nation’s consumer confidence dropped to a 21-month low in December, the National Statistics Institute said Jan. 5.

Portugal, which intends to sell as much as 20 billion euros in bonds to finance its budget and redemptions this year, sold 500 million euros of bills with a yield of 3.686 percent on Jan. 5, up from 2.045 percent at a sale of similar maturity securities in September. Swaps on Portugal cost 517.5 basis points, near the Nov. 30 record of 543.

‘Unholy Mess’

The credit-rating companies are also reviewing other countries. Moody’s said on Dec. 15 it may cut Spain’s Aa1 credit rating and on Dec. 16 placed Greece’s Ba1 rating on review for a possible downgrade. Greece may yet default on its debt even after a 110 billion-euro loan from the EU and IMF in May, Harvard University Professor Kenneth Rogoff said this week.

“It is an unholy mess,” said Suki Mann, a credit strategist at Societe Generale SA in London. “The pack will now be unleashed on other sovereigns until a solution is found.”

Countries such as Bulgaria, Lithuania and Kazakhstan are faring better than their advanced neighbors because they have less debt and avoided the plunge in real-estate prices that plagued the West.

Romania, which got a 20 billion-euro bailout from the International Monetary Fund and European Union in 2009, has pledged to cut its budget deficit of 7.2 percent of GDP to 4.4 percent next year. Greece’s deficit was 15.4 percent in 2009, Ireland’s 14.4 percent and Spain’s 11.1 percent, according to EU data.

Weathering the Storm

“Emerging markets as a group weathered the global recession better than advanced economies,” the IMF wrote in a report published on its website last month. “Many have seen growth bounce back during the past year, and they seem poised for high growth in coming years.”

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index of stocks gained 16 percent in 2010, beating the 8.6 percent increase for Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index and the 12.8 percent gain by the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index in the U.S.

Developing European governments were most affected by contagion from the sovereign debt crisis, the IMF said. Countries in the Middle East and Africa, which are also included in Markit Group Ltd.’s CEEMEA index, fared better.

That index has declined 11 basis points to 206 since it started trading on Jan. 20, 2010, CMA prices show. Markit’s Western Europe index rose 129 basis points to 213 in the same period.

Credit-default swaps pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent should a borrower fail to adhere to its debt agreements.

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12/29/2010 (5:19 am)

U.S. Economy: Confidence Falls on Concern Over Jobs - Bloomberg

Filed under: finance, money |

Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly fell in December, restrained by concern that jobs will remain scarce in 2011.

The Conference Board’s confidence index unexpectedly fell to 52.5, lower than the most pessimistic forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, figures from the New York-based research group showed today. Another report showed home values dropped more than economists projected.

The loss of confidence is at odds with a report from the University of Michigan that showed sentiment improved to a six- month high in December, and with data showing holiday spending posted the biggest gain in five years. Federal Reserve policy makers this month said “depressed” housing and high unemployment remained constraints on consumer spending, supporting their plans to expand record monetary stimulus.

“We should watch what consumers do and not what they say,” said Omair Sharif, an economist at RBS Securities Inc. in Stamford, Connecticut. “If you looked at the confidence data you wouldn’t have looked for the pace of spending to accelerate as much as it has. Consumers are still very cautious and very nervous about where the labor market is headed.”

Stocks rose, led by rising shares of commodity producers as energy and metal prices climbed. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.1 percent to 1,258.51 at the 4 p.m. close in New York. Treasury securities fell, pushing the yield in the benchmark 10-year note up to 3.49 percent from 3.33 percent late yesterday.

Rising Sales

Retailers’ 2010 holiday sales jumped 5.5 percent for the best performance since 2005, said MasterCard Advisors’ SpendingPulse, which measures retail sales by all payment forms. That compared with a 4.1 percent gain a year earlier. The numbers include Internet sales and exclude automobile purchases.

The median forecast for confidence, based on a survey of 61 economists, projected confidence would increase to 56.3. The Conference Board revised the November figure to 54.3 from a previous estimate of 54.1. Projections ranged from 53 to 60. The index averaged 96.8 during the last economic expansion that ended in December 2007.

Today’s report stands in contrast to preliminary figures from Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan which showed sentiment climbed this month as the share of Americans citing an improvement in current conditions climbed to the highest level since January 2008.

Drop ‘Surprising’

“The fact confidence moved lower is a bit surprising given the other data we have observed for the month,” said Dean Maki, chief U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York. “Month-to-month changes in confidence are not well correlated with those in spending. Reports from retailers as well as data on spending have been upbeat. We would give those more weight.”

The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values fell 0.8 percent in October from the same month in 2009, the biggest year-over-year decline since December of last year, the group said today payday advance. The decrease exceeded the 0.2 percent drop projected by the median forecast of economists surveyed.

“Despite the fact that housing will remain at pretty low levels through next year, economic growth in general will be fairly robust,” Maki said on Bloomberg Television’s “Market Pulse” with Pimm Fox. Maki said he expected growth in a range of 3 percent to 3.5 percent next year.

Home Values

The home-price gauge fell 1 percent in October from the prior month after adjusting for seasonal variations, matching September’s drop which was larger than previously estimated.

Eighteen of 20 cities showed a decrease in prices in October, led by a 2.1 percent drop in Atlanta, and decreases of 1.8 percent each in Chicago and Minneapolis. Denver and Washington were the only two that posted gains.

Six markets, including Atlanta, Charlotte, Miami, Seattle, Tampa and Portland, Oregon, reached their lowest levels in October since prices started to retreat in 2006.

“The double-dip is almost here,” said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P. Sales aren’t “giving any sense of optimism.”

According to the Conference Board, the share of consumers who said jobs are hard to get increased to the highest level since February.

Those expecting more jobs to become available in the next six months reached the lowest level since July, while the proportion who expected their incomes to rise over the next six months also fell.

Jobs Gains

Employers added 951,000 workers to payrolls in the first 11 months of the year, according to figures from the Labor Department. December data are due Jan. 7.

The gains haven’t been large enough to reduce unemployment, which was at 9.8 percent last month after finishing 2009 at 10 percent.

President Barack Obama on Dec. 17 signed into law an $858 billion bill that extends for two years Bush-era tax cuts for all income levels, continues expanded jobless insurance benefits to the long-term unemployed for 13 months and reduces payroll taxes during 2011.

Some Americans are more willing to make big-ticket purchases. Car sales in November rose to a 12.26 million unit pace, the highest since the government’s cash-for-clunkers program in August 2009, industry data showed this month. Demand over the past three months is the strongest in two years.

“We have a high degree of confidence that 2011 is going to be a stronger sales year,” George Pipas, Ford Motor Co.’s sales analyst, said in a Dec. 20 briefing with reporters in Dearborn, Michigan, where the company is based. “We’re a whole lot better off than we were a year ago.”

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12/17/2010 (11:19 pm)

TSX lower amid BMO stock deal

Filed under: money, term |

The Toronto stock market was lower Friday, dragged down by the financial sector after Bank of Montreal announced a sizable all stock deal to expand its presence in the U.S. banking industry.

The S&P/TSX composite index lost 30.93 points to 13,150.3, finding some support from a strong earnings report from tech giant Research In Motion Ltd. (TSX: RIM), while the TSX Venture Exchange gained 9.41 points to 2,115.22.

Bank of Montreal (TSX: BMO) shares fell $3.65 or 5.9 per cent to $58.40 after it announced it is buying Wisconsin-based bank Marshall & Ilsley Corp. (NYSE: MI) for US$4.1 billion in shares. Marshall & Ilsley has US$51.9 billion in assets.

The Canadian dollar declined as the U.S. dollar advanced against other currencies continuing nervousness about the government debt crisis in Europe. The loonie lost 0.55 of a cent to 98.86 cents US.

Research In Motion (TSX: RIM) shares rose $2.60 to $62.21 after the company posted record third-quarter results after the market closed Thursday, helped again by strong international growth and sales of its new BlackBerry Torch, which has a touchscreen and a pullout keyboard.

RIM earned US$911.1 million, or $1.74 per diluted share in the third quarter. That compared with a profit of $628.4 million or $1.10 per share a year ago.

Revenue for the quarter totalled $5.49 billion, up from $3.92 billion.

Oil prices moved slightly higher despite the rising greenback, with the January crude contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange up a dime to US$87.80 a barrel. The energy sector rose 0.18 per cent and Suncor Energy (TSX: SU) gained 16 cents to $36.62 after the energy giant launched a $1.75-billion development agreement in Canada

11/12/2010 (3:24 pm)

South Korean `No Deal’ May Damp U.S. Trade Accords Prospects - Bloomberg

Filed under: money, mortgage |

Before heading to Seoul, U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk was warned by Senator Max Baucus that “no deal is better than a bad deal” when it came to negotiating changes in a free-trade agreement with South Korea.

The announcement by the U.S. and Korean presidents yesterday that they failed to agree on changes to beef and auto provisions may make “no deal” the reality for U.S. trade accords across Asia and the world.

“It’s very disappointing: If they can’t deliver under these circumstances, you have to wonder,” former U.S. Trade Representative Susan Schwab said in a Bloomberg Radio interview yesterday. “If you can’t re-close a deal when both leaders say they want it done by a certain time, then you have got some serious problems.”

President Barack Obama’s pledge to rework the agreement and submit it to Congress was being watched as a signal of the administration’s ability to get any trade deals approved by lawmakers, William Reinsch, president of the National Foreign Trade Council in Washington, said last week.

“I want to make sure this deal is balanced,” Obama told reporters at the Group of 20 summit in Seoul today. “I want trade agreements that work for the other side, but my main job is to look out for the American people, American workers and American businesses,”

Doubling Exports

With almost $68 billion in trade between the nations, the deal would be the U.S.’s largest since the North American Free Trade Agreement in 1994 and would help President Barack Obama meet his goal of doubling American exports in five years. The accord, signed in 2007 by negotiators for President George W. Bush, has languished in Washington as lawmakers complained about Korean barriers to exports of U.S. autos and beef. Ford Motor Co. and the United Auto Workers opposed the agreement and sought changes.

Obama and South Korean President Lee Myung Bak said they will seek to resolve differences in coming weeks.

“I think that we can find a sweet spot that works both for Korea and the United States,” Obama said.

His decision to walk away from a deal in Seoul was praised by critics such as Baucus, a Montana Democrat, Representative Sander Levin, a Michigan Democrat and chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, and Representative Dave Camp, a Michigan Republican who is in line to be the next chairman of that panel no fax cash loans. That may make it easier to win approval, if a deal is reached later.

High Stakes

“This is far too important to the bilateral relationship to blow up over these incremental changes,” Jeffrey Schott, a fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, said in an interview yesterday.

The stakes go well beyond this deal, according to analysts such as Schwab, who spoke on the “Bloomberg on the Economy” program. Schwab signed the Korea agreement as Bush’s trade representative.

Without a Korea deal, other nations “won’t believe the United States has the political will to complete and pass an agreement,” Ernest Bower, director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Southeast Asia Program, wrote in a note yesterday. It’s “the acid test for whether the United States can return to a leadership position on trade.”

Aid For Doha

Progress on the agreements may help kick-start the stalled Doha round of global trade talks at the World Trade Organization, William Toppeta, president of MetLife Inc.’s international business, said yesterday in Seoul.

During Obama’s first two years in office, he didn’t attempt to push through Congress trade pacts approved by Bush with South Korea, Colombia and Panama amid high unemployment and opposition from some fellow Democrats and organized labor.

Trade agreements are becoming unpopular among voters, with 44 percent of Americans saying deals such as Nafta are bad for the U.S., up from 32 percent a year ago, according to a poll released this week by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press. Trade with China and South Korea were the least popular among a list of eight U.S. partners, according to the poll of 1,255 adults conducted Nov. 4 to 7.

“Beef was not the only issue that was of concern,” Obama said in Seoul. “We’ve got about 400,000 Korean autos in the United States and a few thousand American cars here in Korea. People are concerned about non-tariff barriers.”

Companies such as Citigroup Inc., United Parcel Service Inc. and Ace Ltd. say an agreement would help open the Korean market to more U.S. exports and foreign investment in financial services.

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07/18/2010 (9:45 pm)

Poll: Businesses see mixed bag for rest of 2010

Filed under: money |

For respondents to the latest Business Pulse survey from Los Angeles Business from bizjournals, the rest of 2010 will be a mixed bag of results for their individual businesses.

The results of the question "What does the second half of the year look like for your company" broke down as follows:

  • Not good, but better than last year — 23 percent
  • Even worse than last year — 26 percent
  • OK — 18 percent
  • Better than last year — 22 percent
  • A lot better than last year — 9 percent

No comments were left on the poll.

This week's poll looks at the problems surrounding the iPhone 4, which has been dubbed, even by Steve Jobs himself, as "Antennagate no faxing 1 hour payday loans."

How do you think Jobs and his band of merry men in Cupertino have handled the situation, taking into consideration Friday's announcement of free cases to those who have already bought an iPhone 4?

What grade would you give Apple on "Antennagate"? Go to our poll page or our homepage and cast your vote. Be sure to leave a comment explaining your answer.

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