The Denver area has made “discernible progress” in recovering from the recession, with two straight quarters of economic growth, “but that growth has yet to be translated into jobs,” says Mark Muro, co-author of the latest quarterly “Mountain Monitor” report on the Intermountain West’s economy from the Brookings Institution and the University of Nevada at Las Vegas.
Denver was the only metro area in the region where the unemployment rate at the end of the year’s first quarter wasn’t higher than a year earlier, the report notes.
But overall, the study says the cities of Colorado and neighboring mountain states are “at once recovering and still struggling.”
“For the first time in three decades, the region finds itself unable to lead the nation out of a recession and [is] forced into a period of serious questioning about the sources of future growth with further federal stimulus unlikely,” the study says. “In these new, uncharted territories, certain corners of the Mountain West face the prospect of being left behind the rest of the country and virtually all of the region’s metropolitan areas have to re-evaluate the basics of the Western growth model.”
The quarterly Mountain Monitor analyzes data on jobs, output, home prices and foreclosure rates for the Intermountain West’s metro areas. The most recent report covers the first quarter.
Among the report’s key negative findings for the region:
• “The 10 largest Intermountain West metropolitan areas made little progress towards recovery between the last quarter of 2009 and the first quarter of 2010 as steeper-than-before employment declines weighed on the region low fee payday loans.”
• “Despite growing [output] by 1.1 percent this quarter, the Intermountain West’s large metros suffered a further employment setback of 0.6 percent” from the previous quarter.
• “Employment recovery eludes the entire region, and not a single metro [in the mountain states] made progress between the fourth quarter of 2009 and the first quarter of 2010 in recouping jobs lost to the recession.”
• “Home prices … remain depressed [in the region]. This quarter’s annualized price depreciations were steeper than last’s in every metro.”
“Reversing earlier gains, … the region’s overhang of real estate-owned properties — foreclosed properties that failed to sell at auction and are now owned by lenders — increased during the first quarter of 2010 and remains extremely high.”
On the other hand, the report says that “all but two of the region’s metros — Albuquerque and Las Vegas — grew [in terms of “gross metropolitan product”] at a faster clip than did the nation or large metros on average. Relatively high growth rates in Denver, Ogden [Utah], Phoenix, and Tucson [Ariz.] place these metros into the top performance [20 percent] nationally.”
The report covers Colorado as well as Arizona, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming.
Click here for the full report.
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